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Joint Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Research
Publications by JCHMR staff
(publications are listed alphabetically within each year's output)
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Bell, V.A., Elliott, J.M., Moore, R.J. 2000. Modelling the effects of drought on the population of brown trout in Black Brows Beck. Ecological Modelling, 127, 141-159.
Bell, V.A., Carrington, D.S. and Moore, R.J. 2000. Comparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood forecasting. Part 2: Calibration and evaluation of models. Environment Agency R&D Technical Report W242, Report prepared by the Institute of Hydrology, 239pp.
Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J. 2000. Short period forecasting of catchment-scale precipitation. Part II: A water-balance storm model for short-term rainfall and flood forecasting. Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences, 4(4), 635-651.
Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J. 2000. The sensitivity of catchment runoff models to rainfall data at different spatial scales. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 653-667.
Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2000. Snowmelt forecasting for flood warning. Abstract. HS02/02 Evaluation of existing flood warning schemes, European Geophysical Society 2000, Nice.
Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2000. Development and assessment of snowmelt models for flood forecasting and warning, R&D Technical Report W227, Research Contractor: Institute of Hydrology, Environment Agency, 60pp.
Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J. and Brown, V. 2000. Snowmelt forecasting for flood warning in Upland Britain. In: M. Lees and P. Walsh (eds.), Flood forecasting: what does current research offer the practitioner? Occasional Paper No. 12, British Hydrological Society, 11-25.
Carrington, D.S., Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2000 Intercomparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood warning. Abstract. HS02/02 Evaluation of existing flood warning schemes, European Geophysical Society 2000, Nice,
Goode, K., Bell, V.A., Jones, D.A., Moore, R. J. 2000. River Flow Forecasting System Model Network for the River Derwent, Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 109pp.
Goode, K., Bell, V.A., Jones, D.A., Moore, R. J. 2000. River Flow Forecasting System Model Network for the River Tees. Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 101pp.
Goode, K., Moore, R. J. 2000. River Flow Forecasting System Model to the Leigh Barrier during Autumn 2000, Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 29pp.
Goode, K., Carrington, D.S., Bell, V.A. and Moore, R. J. 2000. Flood forecasting model for the Leigh Barrier, Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 38pp.
Goode, K., Bell, V.A., Jones, D.A. and Moore, R. J. 2000. Flood forecasting model for the Upper Rother, Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 57pp.
Jones, D.A., Moore, R.J., Cameron, D. 2000. River Flow Forecasting System Model Network for Northumbria, Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 13pp.
Mecklenburg, S., Bell, V.A., Carrington, D.S., Moore, R.J., Joss, J. 2000. Interfacing the radar echo tracking algorithm COTREC with the rainfall-runoff model PDM for real-time flood forecasting. 5th Int. Workshop on Precipitation in Urban Areas, From Precipitation Measurements to Design and Forecasting Modelling, 10-12 December, Pontresina, Switzerland, Preprints of Papers, P.Burlando and Th. Einfalt (eds.), IHP-V Technical Documents in Hydrology, UNESCO, Paris, 183-185.
Mecklenburg, S., Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J., Joss, J. 2000. Interfacing an enhanced radar echo tracking algorithm with a rainfall-runoff model for real-time flood forecasting. Phys. Chem. Earth (B), 25(10-12), 1329-1333.
Moore, R.J., Bell, V.A. and Carrington, D.S. 2000. Intercomparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood forecasting. In: M. Lees and P. Walsh (eds.), Flood forecasting: what does current research offer the practitioner? Occasional Paper No. 12, British Hydrological Society, 69-76.
Moore, R.J. and Bell, V.A. 2000 Comparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood forecasting. Part 1: Literature review of models. Report prepared by the Institute of Hydrology, Environment Agency R&D Technical Report W241, 94pp.
Moore, R.J., Jones, D.A., Cox, D.R. and Isham, V.S. (2000) Design of the HYREX raingauge network. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 523-530.
Moore, R. J. (2000) Preface. Special Issue. HYREX: the HYdrological Radar Experiment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 521-522.
Moore, R.J. and Hall, M.J. eds. (2000) Special Issue. HYREX: the HYdrological Radar Experiment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 681pp.
Moore, R.J., Jones, D.A, Dent, Woods Ballard, B. 2000 Whole catchment modelling: progress and prospects. 35th MAFF Conference of River and Coastal Engineers, Keele University, 5-7 July 2000, 06.1.1-06.1.9.
Roberts, A.M., Cluckie, I.D., Gray, L., Griffith, R.J., Lane, A., Moore, R.J., Pedder, M.A. 2000. Data management and data archive for the Hydrological Radar Experiment (HYREX) Programme. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 669-679.
Wood, S.J., Jones, D.A., Moore, R.J. 2000. Accuracy of rainfall measurement for scales of hydrological interest. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 531-543.
Wood, S.J., Jones, D.A., Moore, R.J. (2000) Static and dynamic calibration of radar data for hydrological use. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 4(4), 545-554.
Bell, V.A., Carrington, D.S. and Moore, R.J. 2001. Comparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood forecasting. Part 2: Calibration and evaluation of models. Environment Agency R&D Technical Report W242, Research Contractor: Institute of Hydrology, September 2001, Environment Agency, 239pp.
Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2001. PDM rainfall-runoff model extensions for use in the Demer Basin Operational Model, Flanders, Belgium. Contract Report to Wallingford Software for International Marine & Dredging Consultants NV on behalf of AMINAL, Belgium. CEH Wallingford, 53pp.
Borga, M., Tonelli, F., Moore, R.J., and Andrieu, H. 2002. Long-term assessment of bias adjustment in radar rainfall estimation. Water Resources Research, accepted for publication.
CEH Wallingford 2001. Rainfall Model Scientific Background. Real Time System. Andhra Pradesh Cyclone Hazard Mitigation Project. V1.0. Government of Andhra Pradesh/World Bank, 29pp.
CEH Wallingford 2001. Rainfall Model User Manual. Real Time System. Andhra Pradesh Cyclone Hazard Mitigation Project. V1.0. Government of Andhra Pradesh/World Bank, 28pp.
CEH Wallingford 2001. Rainfall Model System Administration Manual. Real Time System. Andhra Pradesh Cyclone Hazard Mitigation Project. V1.0. Government of Andhra Pradesh/World Bank, 9pp.
CEH Wallingford 2001. Hyrad Weather Radar System. Specification and Design. A National Interim Weather Radar Display System (NIWRDS) for the Environment Agency. Document version 1.0.000, 17 September 2001, Contract Report to the Environment Agency.
CEH Wallingford 2001. PDM Rainfall-Runoff Model. Version 2.0, March 2001. (Incorporates: Practical User Guide, Guide, Practical User Guide to the Calibration Shell, User Manual, Training Exercises).
CEH Wallingford 2001. PSM Rainfall-Runoff Model. Version 2.0, March 2001. (Incorporates: Practical User Guide, Guide, Practical User Guide to the Calibration Shell, User Manual, Training Exercises).
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology 2001. Modelling, risk estimation and management of ecological systems subject to natural hazards. Interim Final Report to November 2001. CEH Integrating Fund Project, 6pp plus Appendices. Appendices include the draft papers:
Fox, N., Sleigh, M. and Pierce, C. 2001: Forecast Demonstration Project Sydney 2000: Part 1: An overview of the project and the participating systems. Weather, 56, 397-404.
Fox, N., Webb, R., Bally, J., Sleigh, M., Pierce, C. E., Sills, D., Wilson, J. W., Roberts, R., Joe, P., Collier, C.G., 2002. The impact of advanced nowcasting systems on severe weather warning: a case study of the 3 November 2000 Sydney supercell. Weather and Forecasting, Special Issue.
Goode, K., Bell, V.A., Jones, D.A., Moore, R. J. 2001. River Flow Forecasting System Model Network for the River Tees. Report for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 103pp, 2001 Revision.
Halcrow 2001. Tidal Thames – Hydrodynamic Modelling. Calculation of Defence Levels. November 2001. 35pp plus Appendices.
Jones, A.E. 2001. Raingauge rainfall estimation for real-time rainfall-runoff modelling. MSc Dissertation, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading, August 2001, 99pp.
Jones, D.A. 2001. Tidal Thames Probability Analysis. Contract Report to Halcrow for the Environment Agency, CEH Wallingford, 45pp.
Mecklenburg, S., Bell, V.A., Carrington, D.S., Cooper, A.M., Moore, R.J., AND Pierce, C.E. 2001. Applying COTREC-derived rainfall forecasts to the rainfall-runoff model PDM—estimating error sources. Abstract. 30th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, Munich, Germany, 19-24 July 2001, AMS, Paper 1.7, 14-16.
Mecklenburg, S., Bell, V.A., Carrington, D.S., Cooper, A.M., Moore, R.J., and Pierce, C.E. 2001. Interfacing COTREC-derived rainfall forecasts with the rainfall-runoff model PDM. Fifth Int. Symp. on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar – Radar Hydrology, Proceedings, 19-22 November 2001, Heian-Kaikan, Kyoto Japan, 457-462.
Misumi, R., Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J. 2001. River flow forecasting using a rainfall disaggregation model incorporating small-scale topographic effects. Meteorol. Appl., 8(3), 297-305.
Moore, R.J. 2001. Book Reviews. Rainfall-Runoff Modelling: The Primer by K.J. Beven, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 5(1), 133-135.
Moore, R.J. and Bell, V.A. 2001. Comparison of rainfall-runoff models for flood forecasting. Part 1: Literature review of models. Environment Agency R&D Technical Report W241, Research Contractor: Institute of Hydrology, September 2001, Environment Agency, 94pp.
Pierce, C. E., 2001. Final report on the Met Office contribution to the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Forecast Demonstration Project (FDP) Sydney 2000. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 351, Met Office, August 2001.
Pierce, C. E. and Cooper, A. M., 2001. Comparison of the performance of 2 km resolution Object-Oriented Model and Nimrod advection precipitation nowcast schemes. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 350, Met Office, December 2000.
Black, K. B., Parker, J., Jones, A. E., and Moore, R.J. 2002. Hyrad User Guide. Hyrad Weather Radar System and Display Client Implementation Document Series. Produced for the Environment Agency NIWRDS project. CEH Wallingford, 54pp.
Bowler, N., Pierce, C. E. 2002. Development of a short range QPF algorithm based upon Optic Flow techniques. Forecasting Research Technical Report, Met Office.
Borga, M., Tonelli, F., Moore, R.J. and Andrieu, H. 2002. Long-term assessment of bias adjustment in radar rainfall estimation. Water Resources Research, 38(11), 10.1029/2001WR000555.
Bowler, N., Seed, A. and Pierce, C. E. 2002. Preliminary work on the generation of probabilistic nowcasts of precipitation. Forecasting Research Technical Report, JCHMR, Met Office.
CEH Wallingford 2002. KW Channel Flow Routing Model. Version 2.0, February 2002. (Incorporates: Practical User Guide, Guide, Practical User Guide to the Calibration Shell, User Manual, Training Exercises).
CEH Wallingford 2002. Bibliography on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar in the United Kingdom. Fourth Edition (publications notified to end of 2002). CEH Wallingford, 46pp.
Jones, A.E., Bell, V.A., Folwell, S.S., Moore, R.J., Farquharson, F.A., Jones, D.A., 2002. PDM and KW Model Calibration for the Citanduy Basin. South Java Flood Control Sector Project. Contract Report to GISTEC, CEH Wallingford, 43pp plus appendices.
Kay, A.L., Bell,V.A., Moore,R.J., and Jones,R.G. 2002. Estimation of UK flood frequencies using RCM rainfall: An initial investigation. Met Office Annex 15a Subcontract Report 1, CEH Wallingford, 40pp.
Khatibi, R., Moore, R.J., Booij, M.J., Cadman, D. and Boyce, G. 2002. Parsimonious catchment and river flow modelling. Proc. IEMSs 2002, Integrated Assessment and Decision Support, Proc 1st Bennial Meeting of the Int. Environmental Modelling and Software Society, A.E. Rizzoli and A.J. Jakeman (Eds.), 24-27 June, University of Lugano, Switzerland, Vol. 1, 399-404.
Moore, R.J. 2002. Aspects of uncertainty, reliability and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar. In: J.J. Bogardi and Z.W. Kundzewicz (eds.), Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty and Robustness of Water Resources Systems, Cambridge University Press, 30-40.
Moore, R.J. 2002. Book Reviews. Fractal river basins. Chance and self-organisation by Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe and Andrea Rinaldo. Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 6(2), 295.
Moore, R.J. and Bell, V.A. 2002. Incorporation of groundwater losses and well level data in rainfall-runoff models illustrated using the PDM. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 6(1), 25-38.
Pierce, C. E. 2002. The implementation of a Nimrod system in Poland for IMGW. System specification document Part 1: Nimrod components and process descriptions. JCHMR, Met Office.
Pierce, C.E. 2002. The implementation of a Nimrod system in Poland for IMGW. System specification document Part 2: Nimrod input-output matrix and missing data functionality. JCHMR, Met Office.
Pierce, C.E. 2002. The implementation of a Nimrod system in Poland for IMGW. Specification of the Nimrod domain and projection. JCHMR, Met Office.
Pierce, C.E., Seed, A., Ebert, E.E., Fox, N., Sleigh, M., Collier, C.G., Donaldson, N., Wilson, J. W., Roberts, R., Mueller, C. 2002. The nowcasting of precipitation during Sydney 2000: an appraisal of the QPF algorithms. Weather and Forecasting, Special Issue.
Taylor, C.M., Lambin, E.F., Stephenne, N., Harding, R.J. and Essery, R.L.H., 2002. The influence of land use change on climate in the Sahel, Journal of Climate, 15(24): 3615-3629.
Wilson, J. W., Ebert, E., Saxen, T., Pierce, C. E., Sleigh, M., Seed, A., Roberts, R., Mueller, C., 2002. Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project: Convective Storm Nowcasting. Weather and Forecasting, Special Issue.
Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2003. Development of a flow routing and flood inundation facility for Nimrod/CMetS: Preliminary formulation and results. Report to the Met Office, CEH Wallingford, 27pp.
Bell, V.A., Moore, R.J. and Jones, R.G. 2003. Development of a flow routing model coupled to a Regional Climate Model for Europe: Preliminary formulation and results. Annex 15a subcontract report to Defra, CEH Wallingford, 42pp.
Betts, R.A., Cox, P.M., Collins, M., Harris, P.P., Huntingford, C. and Jones, C.D.: 2003 The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, accepted subject to revision.
Bolgov,M.V., Gottschalk,L., Krasovskaia,I., Moore,R.J. (eds.) 2002. Hydrological Models for Environmental Management. NATO Science Series, 2. Environmental Security – Vol. 79, Kluwer, 263pp.
Bowler, N., Pierce, C.E. and Seed, A. 2003. Development of a precipitation nowcasting algorithm based upon optical flow techniques. Journal of Hydrology.
Bowler,N., Seed,A., Pierce,C.E. 2003. Work on the generation of probabilistic nowcasts of precipitation. Forecasting Research Technical Report, JCHMR, Met Office, .
Clark, D. B., Taylor, C. M., and Thorpe, A. J. 2003. Feedback between the land surface and rainfall at convective length scales. Journal of Hydrometeorology, .
Clark, D. B., Taylor, C. M., Thorpe, A. J., Harding, R. J. and Nicholls, M. E. 2003. The influence of spatial variability of boundary-layer moisture on tropical continental squall lines. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 1101-1121
Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Collins, M., Harris, P.P., Huntingford, C. and Jones, C.D. 2004. Amazon dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st Century. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, accepted subject to revision.
Essery, R. L. H., Best, M. J., Betts, R. A., Cox, P. M. and Taylor, C. M. 2003. Explicit representation of subgrid heterogeneity in a GCM land surface scheme. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4, 530-543
Gedney N. and Cox P.M. 2003. The sensitivity of global climate model simulations to the representation of soil moisture heterogeneity. J. Hydrometeorol. 4(6), 1265-1275.
Hall,R.L., Huntingford,C., Harding,R.J., Lloyd,C.R. and Cox,P.M., 2003. An improved description of soil hydraulic and thermal properties of arctic peatland for use in a GCM. Hydrological Processes, .
Huntingford, C., Harris, P.P., Gedney, N. Cox, P.M., Betts, R.A., Marengo J. and. Gash, J.H.C. 2003. Investigating the potential for Amazon die-back in a future climate using a GCM analogue model. Theorectical and Applied Climatology, accepted.
Huntingford, C., Jones, R.G., Prudhomme, C., Lamb, R., Gash, J.H.C. and. Jones D.A.2003. Regional climate-model predictions of extreme rainfall for a changing climate. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc, 129, 1607-1621
Jones, D.A. 2003. Use of several indices of event severity for floods and drought. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 7(5), 642-651.
Jones, A.E., Jones, D.A. and Moore, R.J. 2003. Development of Rainfall Forecast Performance Monitoring Criteria. Phase 1: Development of Methodology and Algorithms. Report to the Environment Agency and the Met Office, CEH Wallingford, 291pp.
Jones, A.E., Jones, D.A. and Moore, R.J. 2003. Heavy Rainfall Warning Assessment Tool User Guide. Report to the Environment Agency and the Met Office, CEH Wallingford, 53pp.
Jones, C.D., Cox, P.M., and Huntingford, C. 2003. Uncertainty in climate-carbon cycle projection associated with the sensitivity of soil respiration to temperature. Tellus, 55, 642.
Kay, A.L. 2003. Estimation of UK flood frequencies using RCM rainfall: An further investigation. Met Office Annex 15a Subcontract Report 2, CEH Wallingford, 48pp.
Pierce, C.E. 2003. Operational quantitative precipitation nowcasting in the Met Office. Floods in Scotland, A. Black, Ed., Institute of Civil Engineers & Royal Meteorological Society, 6-7.
Roberts, N. 2003. Results from high-resolution simulations of convective events. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 402, Met Office, UK.
Roberts, N. 2003. The impact of a change to the use of the convection scheme in high-resolution simulations of convective events. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 407, Met Office, UK.
Roberts, N., 2003. Precipitation diagnostics for a high resolution modelling system. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 423, Met Office, UK.
Taylor, C. M., Ellis, R. J., Parker, D. J., Burton, R. R. and Thorncroft, C. D. 2003. Linking boundary layer variability with convection - a case study from JET2000. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 2233-2253
Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Lloyd, C. R. and Thorncroft, C. D. 2003. Observations of synoptic scale land surface variability and its coupling with the atmosphere. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc..
Thorncroft, C. D., Parker, D. J., Burton, R. R., Diop, M., Ayers, J. H., Barjat, H., Devereau, S., Diongue, A., Dumelow, R., Kindred, D. R., Price, N. M., Saloum, M., Taylor, C. M. and Tompkins, A. M. 2003. The JET2000 project - Aircraft observations of the African easterly jet and African easterly waves. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 337-351.
Thorncroft, C. D., Parker, D. J., Burton, R. R., Diop, M., Ayers, J. H., Barjat, H., Devereau, S., Diongue, A., Dumelow, R., Kindred, D. R., Price, N. M., Saloum, M., Taylor, C. M. and Tompkins, A. M. 2003. The JET2000 project - Aircraft observations of the African easterly jet and African easterly waves. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 337-351.
Bell, V. Kay, A., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J. 2004. Simulation of observed river flows for 1960-2000. Report to Defra, MS–RAND–CPP–PROG0306, CEH Wallingford and Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research., 52pp.
Bell, V.A., Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J. 2004. Flow routing for Regional Climate Models. Annex 15a subcontract report to Defra, CEH Wallingford, 124pp.
Bell, V.A. and Moore, R.J. 2004. A flow routing and flood inundation facility for Nimrod/CMetS. Report to the Met Office, CEH Wallingford, 56 pp.
Bell V.A., Moore R.J., Jones R.G. 2004. Flow Routing for Regional Climate Models: UK application. Final report to the Hadley Centre, CEH Wallingford, 124pp.
Bowler, N., Pierce, C.E. and Seed, A. 2004. A probabilistic precipitation forecasting
scheme which merges an extrapolation nowcast with downscaled NWP. 6th Int. Symp.
on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar, 2-4 February 2004, Melbourne,
Australia, 8pp.
Bowler, N., Pierce, C.E. and Seed, A. 2004. A probabilistic precipitation forecasting
scheme that blends an extrapolation nowcast with downscaled NWP. Forecasting
Research Technical Report No. 433, Met Office, U.K., 44 pp.
Cole, S.J., Bell, V.A., Robson, A.J., Moore, R.J. 2004. Use of Nimrod in Flood
Forecasting. Contract Report to the Environment Agency and the Met Office, CEH
Wallingford, 136pp.
Clark, D. B., Taylor, C. M. and Thorpe, A. J. 2004. Feedback between the land
surface and rainfall at convective length scales. Journal of Hydrometeorology,
5, 625-639
Fox, N.I., Webb, R., Bally, J., Sleigh, M.W., Pierce, C.E., Sills, D.M.L., Joe, P.I., Wilson, J. and Collier, C.G. 2004. The Impact of Advanced Nowcasting Systems on Severe Weather Warning during the Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project: 3 November 2000, Weather and Forecasting, 19-1, 97–114.
Gedney N., Cox P.M. and Huntingford, C. 2004. Climate feedback from wetland methane emissions. Geophys. Res. Letters, 31 (20): Art. No. L20503 Oct. 23, 2004
Jones, A.E., Jones, D.A., Moore, R.J. and Robson, A.J. 2004. Heavy Rainfall Warning Assessment Tool User Guide. Report to the Environment Agency and the Met Office, CEH Wallingford, 65pp.
Kay, A., Bell, V., Jones, R.G., and Moore, R.J. 2004. Assessment of the Autumn 2000 floods in the context of the precipitation record from 1958 to present. Report to Defra, MS–RAND–CPP–PROG0306, CEH Wallingford and Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research., 15pp.
Kay, A.L., Reynard, N.S. and Jones, R.G. 2004. RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. I. Method and validation. Submitted to the Journal of Hydrology.
Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Reynard, N.S. 2004. RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. II. Climate change results. Submitted to the Journal of Hydrology.
Koster, R. D., Dirmeyer, P. A., Guo, Z. C., Bonan, G., Chan, E., Cox, P., Gordon, C. T., Kanae, S., Kowalczyk, E., Lawrence, D., Liu, P., Lu, C. H., Malyshev, S., McAvaney, B., Mitchell, K., Mocko, D., Oki, T., Oleson, K., Pitman, A., Sud, Y. C., Taylor, C. M., Verseghy, D., Vasic, R., Xue, Y. K. and Yamada, T. 2004. Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation. Science, 305, 1138-1140
Moore, R.J., Bell, V.A., Cole, S.J. and Jones, D.A. 2004. Spatio-temporal rainfall datasets and their use in evaluating the extreme event performance of hydrological models. Inception Report. Report to Defra, Research Contract FD2208, CEH Wallingford, 58pp.
Moore, R.J., Jones, A.E., Jones, D.A., Black, K.B. and Bell, V.A. 2004. Weather radar for flood forecasting: some UK experiences. 6th Int. Symp. on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar, 2-4 February 2004, Melbourne, Australia, 11pp.
Pierce, C.E., Ebert, E., Seed, A.W., Sleigh, M., Collier, C.G., Fox, N.I., Donaldson, N., Wilson, J.W., Roberts, R. and Mueller, C.K. 2004. The Nowcasting of Precipitation during Sydney 2000: An Appraisal of the QPF Algorithms, Weather and Forecasting, 19-1 , 7–21.
Pierce, C.E., Bowler, N., Seed, A., Jones, A., Jones, D. and Moore, R.J. 2004. Use of a stochastic precipitation nowcast scheme for fluvial flood forecasting and warning, 6th Int. Symp. on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar, 2-4 February 2004, Melbourne, Australia, 11pp.
Parker, D. J., Burton, R. R., Diongue, A., Ellis, R. J., Felton, M., Taylor, C. M., Thorncroft, C. and Bessemoulin, P. 2004. The Diurnal Cycle of the West African Monsoon Circulation. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
Pierce, C.E., Bowler, N., Seed, A. 2004. Development of a stochastic precipitation forecasting scheme for fluvial flood forecasting and warning. Flood Risk Assessment. Proc. conference held by the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications, 7-8 September 2004, University of Bath, UK, 199-207.
Roberts, N. 2004. Measuring the fit of rainfall analyses and forecasts to radar: Strategy for evaluation. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 432, Met Office, UK.
Smith, R.N.B., Blyth, E.M., Finch, J.W., Goodchild, S., Hall, R.L. and Madry, S. 2004. Soil state and surface hydrology diagnosis based on MOSES in the Met Office Nimrod nowcasting system. Forecasting Research Technical Report No. 428. Available at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/nwp/publications/papers/technical_reports/fr.html. Also submitted to Meteorol. Appl.
Vehviläinen, B., Cauwenberghs, M.K., Cheze, J.L., Moore, R.J., Salek, M., Jurczyk, A. and Szturc, J. 2004. Weather radar in hydrological forecasting systems. Third European Conference on Radar Meteorology and Hydrology (ERAD), ERAD3-A-00157.
Wilson, J.W., Ebert, E.E., Saxen, T.R., Roberts, R.D., Mueller, C.K., Sleigh, M., Pierce, C.E. and Seed, A. 2004. Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project: Convective Storm Nowcasting, Weather and Forecasting, 19-1 , 131–150.
Bell, V.A., Blyth, E.M. and Moore, R.J. 2005. Investigating the utility of soil moisture estimates from a land-surface model for flood forecasting (ELDAS Workplan 5100: UK Flooding). CEH contribution to ELDAS Final Report, 22pp.
Bell, V.A., Blyth, E.M. and Moore, R.J., 2005. The use of soil moisture in hydrological forecasting. ECMWF/ELDAS Workshop on Land Surface Assimilation, 8-11 November 2004, ECWMF, Shinfield, UK, 147-151.
Bell, V.A., Davies, H.N., Dadson, S.J., Kay, A.L. and Clarke, D.B. 2005. River Flow Modelling for Regional Climate Models: Progress Report to March 2005. Report to the Hadley Centre, CEH Wallingford, 37pp.
Best, M.J., Beljaars, A., Polcher, J. and Viterbo, P. 2004. A proposed structure for coupling tiled surfaces with the planetary boundary layer. J. Hydrometeorol., 5, 1271-1278.
Best, M.J. 2005. Representing urban areas within operational numerical weather prediction models. Boundary-Layer Meteorol., 114, 91-109.
Best, M.J., Cox, P.M. and Warrilow, D. 2005. Determining the optimal soil temperature scheme for atmospheric modelling applications. Boundary-Layer Meteorol., Vol. 114, pp 111-142.
CEH Wallingford, 2005. Bibliography on Hydrological Applications of Weather Radar in the United Kingdom. Fifth Edition (publications notified to end of 2004). Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, UK, 46pp.
CEH Wallingford, 2005. Inter-Agency Research Committee on the Hydrological Use of Weather Radar. Fifth Report. 2003 to 2005. Report published on behalf of the Committee by Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, UK, 64pp.
CEH Wallingford, 2005. PDM Rainfall-Runoff Model. Version 2.2, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford. (Includes Guide, Practical User Guides, User Manual and Training Exercises).
CEH Wallingford, 2005. PSM Rainfall-Runoff Model. Version 2.2, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford. (Includes Guide, Practical User Guides, User Manual and Training Exercises)
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Balzter, H., Gerard, F., Weedon, G.P., Grey, W.M.F., Combal, B., Bartholome, E., E., Bartalev, S., and Los, S.O., 2007. Coupling of vegetation growing season anomalies and fire activity with hemispheric and regional scale climate patterns in Central and East Siberia. J. Clim., 20, 3713-3729
Bell, V.A., Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J., 2007. Development of a high resolution grid-based river flow model for use with regional climate model output. Hydrol. Earth System Sci., 11(1), 532-549.
Bell, V.A., Kay, A.L., Jones, R.G. and Moore, R.J., 2007. Use of a grid-based hydrological model and regional climate model outputs to assess changing flood risk. Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1657-1671. doi:10.1002/joc.1539
Betts, R.A., Boucher, O., Collins, M., Cox, P.M., Falloon, P.D., Gedney, N., Hemming, D.L., Huntingford, C., Jones, C.D., Sexton, D.M.H. and Webb, M.J., 2007. Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide. Nature, 448, 1037-U5
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Sitch, S., McGuire, A.D., Kimball, J., Gedney, N., Gamon, J., Engstrom, R.,
Wolf, A., Zhuang, Q., Clein, J. and McDonald, K.C., 2007. Assessing the carbon
balance of circumpolar Arctic tundra using remote sensing and process modeling.
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Zaehle, S., Bondeau, A., Carter, T., Cramer, W., Erhard, M., Prentice, I.C., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, P.C. and Sykes, M., 2007. Projected changes in terrestrial carbon storage in Europe under climate and land-use change, 1990-2100. Ecosystems, doi:10.1007/s10021-007-9028-9.
Bell, V. A., Moore, R.J., Cole, S.J., Kay, A. L., Davies, H. N., Jones, R.G. and Reynard, N.S., 2008. Estimation of extreme river flows over the UK using rainfall and potential evaporation estimates from both a Regional Climate Model and observations. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 10, EGU2008-A-08250.
Cole, S.J. and Moore, R.J., 2008. Initialisation and data assimilation of a distributed flood forecasting model. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 10, EGU2008-A-10119.
Cole, S.J., Moore, R.J., Roberts, N. and Boswell, D. 2008. Using high-resolution numerical weather prediction models in flood forecasting: an extreme event case study. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 10, EGU2008-A-09412.
Huntingford, C., Fisher, R.A., Mercado, L., Booth, B.B.B., Sitch, S., Harris, P.H., Cox, P.M., Jones, C.D., Betts, R.A., Malhi, Y., Harris, G.R., Collins, M. and Moorcroft, P., 2008. Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon ‘dieback’. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B., 363, 1857-1864. doi:10.1098/rstb.2007.0028
Moore, R.J., Cole, S.J. and Bell, V.A., 2008. Extreme rainfall and flood response in a changing climate. British-Russian Conference on “Hydrological Impact of Climate Change”, 13-15 June 2007, Institute for Water and Environmental Problems, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia, 1-10.
Sitch, S., Huntingford, C., Gedney, N., Levy, P.E., Lomas, M., Piao, S., Betts, R., Ciais, P., Cox, P., Friedlingstein, P., Jones, C.D., Prentice, I.C. and Woodward, F. I., 2008. Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography, and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using 5 Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs). Global Change Biology, in press.
Villarini, G., Mandapaka, P.V., Krajewski, W.F. and Moore, R.J., 2008. Rainfall and sampling uncertainties: a rain gauge perspective. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmospheres, 113, D11102, doi:10.1029/2007JD009214.
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